Methodology Guide: Medical Workforce Knowledgebase 3.0
Residency Quota – Canadian Resident Matching Service
This data series shows the residency quota offered in the Canadian Resident Matching Service (CaRMS) PGY1 and subspecialty match processes (R-1, medicine subspecialty match [MSM], pediatric subspecialty match [PSM], family medicine–emergency medicine match [FMEM]). Figures reflect the quota after reversion during the first iteration and are provided by CaRMS through a custom data request. The series includes the combined number of positions from six different quota types including 1) Graduate of Canadian medical school (CMG) quota; 2) International medical graduate (IMG) quota; 3) Competitive quota; 4) CMG Medical Officer Training Plan (MOTP) quota; 5) Particular quota (QC graduates only); 6) Regular quota (Non-QC graduates). Note that visa trainees are not part of the CaRMS matching process. Also, CaRMS does not have information on certain subspecialty training positions, such as those offered in laboratory and surgical subspecialties.
New Trainees – Canadian Post-M.D. Education Registry
This data series shows the number of all incoming post-M.D. trainees (residents) as they start Canadian residency programs at the specialty (PGY1) and subspecialty levels. Figures are provided by the Canadian Post-M.D. Education Registry (CAPER) through a custom data request. Subspecialty trainees are counted at appropriate training levels corresponding to the first subspecialty year for each discipline. The series includes CMGs as well as IMGs. Trainee counts include Canadian citizens and permanent residents of Canada; visa trainees are excluded.
New Certificants – College of Family Physicians of Canada; Royal College of Physicians and Surgeons of Canada
This data series shows the number of physicians who became newly-certified by the College of Family Physicians of Canada (CFPC) and/or the Royal College of Physicians and Surgeons of Canada (Royal College). The data is sourced from administrative databases of the Royal College and the CFPC. Certificants who are already practising in Canada when they receive their certification are excluded (e.g., practice eligible route). Counts include Canadian citizens, permanent residents as well as non-Canadians who become certified by the Royal College and CFPC. Certification data of the Collège des Médecins du Québec (CMQ) is not directly included in the Medical Workforce Knowledgebase.
Licensed Physician Workforce – Canadian Institute for Health Information
This data series is based on the Scott’s Medical Database from the Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI) and includes all active physicians in Canada. CIHI defines active physicians as individuals with an MD degree who have a valid mailing address in Canada. This data series excludes the following: medical residents; military physicians; non-registered physicians who have not given consent to publish their data; physicians on temporary leave or sabbatical; physicians who are abroad; and retired or semi-retired physicians. Figures are based on data from a custom request which includes information on the supply of the licensed physician workforce as well as the age, sex and geographic distribution for the latest data year.
Each specialty must have the complete five years of data in order to calculate the metrics and summary statistics. However, if there is less than five years of data in a particular specialty, basic count data is still provided. For disciplines with small numbers (i.e., fewer than five physicians for three out of five data years) counts are shown but summary statistics are not calculated. Small discipline counts are included in subtotals and grand totals as well as their associated summary statistics.
|Slope (5-year trend line)||Annual rate of change over the time period covered by the series. The trend line is the slope of the regression line, where the data series numbers are y values and years are x values.|
|Change Metric (Slope)||Identification of the relative directionality for the trend line. Classified as “UP” if slope > 0.4 and r2 ≥ 0.3. Classified as “DOWN” if slope < -0.4 and r2 ≥ 0.3. Disciplines that do not meet the above criteria are labelled as “NO CHANGE”.|
|Physicians less than 35 years of age (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of younger physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of physicians aged < 35 by the total number of physicians.|
|Physicians 65+ years of age (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of older physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of physicians aged 65+ by the total number of physicians. Note that 65+ is not linked to retirement projections as a number of physicians work well beyond that age.|
|Female physicians (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of female physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of female physicians by the total number of physicians.|
|Male physicians (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of male physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of male physicians by the total number of physicians.|
|Urban physicians (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of urban physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of physicians in census subdivisions classified as census metropolitan areas or census agglomerations, by the total number of physicians.|
|Rural physicians (%)||Percentage of the workforce that is comprised of rural physicians. Calculated by dividing the number of physicians in census subdivisions classified as metropolitan influenced zones (strong, moderate, weak, or none), by the total number of physicians.|
|Physicians per 100,000 population by province and territory||The number of physicians per 100,000 population in each province and territory. Calculated by dividing the number of physicians in each province and territory for that year, by the population of the province or territory for that year, multiplied by 100,000.|
Due to small sample sizes or data availability, the following specialties/ subspecialties are not presented individually but are included within subtotals and the overall total.
- Adolescent Medicine
- Clinical Pharmacology & Toxicology (Anesthesiology, Emergency Medicine, Internal Medicine, Pediatrics, Psychiatry)
- Critical Care Medicine (Anesthesiology, Cardiac Surgery, Emergency Medicine, General Surgery)
- Family Medicine (Enhanced Skills)
- Forensic Pathology (Anatomical Pathology, General Pathology)
- Forensic Psychiatry
- Gynecologic Reproductive Endocrinology & Infertility
- Laboratory Medicine
- Medical scientists
- Neurology (pediatric subspecialty match only)
- Occupational Medicine
- Pain Medicine (Anesthesiology)
- Palliative Medicine
- Pediatric Radiology
- Pediatric Surgery
- Rheumatology (Pediatrics)
- Thoracic Surgery
Caution must be taken when interpreting trends along the physician workforce supply chain as a result of methodological variations and limitations of the individual data sets. For example:
- Coding of specialties and subspecialties designations may change from year to year which may shift the numbers and statistics for a particular dataset. For example, the following note was extracted for the CIHI’s 2016 SMDB methodological notes (pg. 21): “As of 2009, all certified specialties that a physician has received and that have been recorded in our database are considered to determine the parent specialty of subspecialties with more than one possible parent as defined by the Royal College. For example, nephrology is a subspecialty of either internal medicine or pediatrics. Depending on the other specialties the physician has received, starting in 2009, nephrologists are assigned to the most appropriate parent specialty (either internal medicine or pediatrics). However, prior to 2009, all nephrologists were assigned to internal medicine”
- There may be cases where the number of new trainees exceeds the allocated residency quota. Some individuals may defer admission into a residency program (e.g., maternity or sick leave), which would shift the entry into the program to a different year than the original match. Discrepancies may also result if a program year is repeated or if an individual moves between disciplines.
Acknowledgment and Disclaimer
The Medical Workforce Knowledgebase is made possible in part through the data published by the Canadian Resident Matching Service (CaRMS), the Canadian Post-M.D. Education Registry (CAPER), the College of Family Physicians of Canada (CFPC) and the Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI). The Royal College is grateful for the data provided by these organizations and holds them free of any errors, omissions or misinterpretations made by the Royal College in the use of their data. Through its use of the data the Royal College does not warrant the accuracy or validity of data published by other organizations.
Furthermore, the Royal College does not assume responsibility for errors, omissions, misinterpretations or other misuses on the part of any organization or person using Medical Workforce Knowledgebase data and information. Please find below specific disclaimers from our data suppliers.
|CaRMS||“No warranty expressed or implied is made regarding the accuracy or utility of the data which is provided ‘as is’ without representation, warranty or condition of any kind. CaRMS shall not be responsible for any liability of any kind arising, directly or indirectly, in connections with the data or information. This disclaimer applies both to individual use of the data and aggregate use with other data. It is strongly recommended that data is directly acquired for the Canadian Resident Matching Service (CaRMS) and not indirectly through other sources which may have changed the data in some way. CaRMS shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of the data described and/or contained.”|
|CIHI||“Parts of this material are based on data and information provided by the Canadian Institute for Health Information. However, the analyses, conclusions, opinions and statements expressed herein are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Canadian Institute for Health Information”|
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